Kansas state Senate President Ty Masterson (R), endorsed by former President Donald Trump, is projected to win the Republican primary for governor, defeating five other GOP candidates, according to preliminary results from Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ). Masterson faced opponents including Kansas Secretary of State Scott Schwab, former Johnson County commissioner Charlotte O’Hara, business owner Stacy Rogers, Kansas Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt, and financial services executive Philip Sarnecki.

Masterson received endorsements from Trump and former Governor Roger Marshall. Trump wrote in a Truth Social post that "Ty will run on the Republican ‘ticket’ with my friend, the Great U.S. Senator Roger Marshall, who, along with many America First Patriots in Kansas, strongly believe in him."

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report characterizes the open race to become Kansas governor as leaning Republican. The report also noted the challenges Kansas Republicans faced after former Governor Sam Brownback's 2012 income tax cuts pushed the state into a fiscal crisis, which contributed to Democrat Laura Kelly’s 2018 gubernatorial victory. The report further mentioned Masterson’s 2011 bankruptcy filing over $800,000 in personal debts as a potential point of attack regarding fiscal responsibility. Additionally, Philip Sarnecki criticized Masterson’s $217,000 director position as a "no-show job" that "smells like career politician misconduct," according to a July report by the Kansas City Star.

On the Democratic side, state Sen. Cindy Holscher is projected to win the primary to replace term-limited Governor Laura Kelly (D), per DDHQ preliminary results. Holscher outpaced a narrow field including state Sen. Ethan Corson, who was backed by Kelly, and Overland Park Mayor Curt Skoog. Holscher currently serves as the state Senate minority whip representing Johnson County outside Kansas City and has previously served in the state House.

The general election will determine the next governor of the Sunflower State, with the Cook Political Report indicating a Republican lean.

Sources